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Delightful to see that the two things I do for a living are #2 and #5 on the list of jobs most likely to be eliminated by AI, at least according to Microsoft.

I have my doubts, though, along with a whole bunch of unanswered questions.

First of all: what exactly is the definition of "historian" (#2) that the Microsoft tech bros were using? "Chronologist", perhaps? The job of a historian isn't to list everything that happened. It's to find explanations, to tell a story about the human condition that's faithful to the facts but also enters into the motivations,hopes, fears, and ambitions of the past actors. Historians don't just assemble people and places in order. They make arguments about *why* it happened.

Can AI make those arguments? Very likely. This is something I keep wondering about. If it can, will we find those arguments compelling? Will we adopt them? The movie industry has been sounding the alarm for years about AI actors taking jobs away from actual people, but so far, it seems that we prefer our movie stars to be human beings with actual lives, back stories, struggles, and personal charisma. If we are trying to understand the past, will we be content with an argument assembled from a billion points of data by an author who never got sick, never lost a child, and will never die? (Maybe. I just pose the question.)

Second, what on earth is this job called "Writers and Authors" that pops up in #5? Down below, I see Reporters, Technical Writers, and Editors. What category are the TB's (that's the Tech Bros) considering here? There's an alarming lack of definition on this list. What about Substack authors? (Will you follow an AI account and hand over your credit card for the privilege?) What about novelists? (I don't see that anywhere, and by the way, if you'd like to hear more about the 300K word novel that I finished and am now trying to figure out how to make a penny or two from, please let me know.) What about opinion essayists and advice columnists? What about the myriad of ways in which human beings communicate with each other with words?

Again, many unanswered questions--and some super sloppy labelling happening here.

I use AI for research. When I want to know when, where, and who, I ask AI. But explaining why and what? That's still my job. I'm not saying it won't disappear, though, so please keep an eye on this space in case I need to start a GoFundMe to see me through my old age.

fortune.com/2025/07/31/microsoft-research-generative-ai-occupational-impact-jobs-most-and-least-l...
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1 week ago

Delightful to see that the two things I do for a living are #2 and #5 on the list of jobs most likely to be eliminated by AI, at least according to Microsoft.

I have my doubts, though, along with a whole bunch of unanswered questions.

First of all: what exactly is the definition of historian  (#2) that the Microsoft tech bros were using? Chronologist, perhaps? The job of a historian isnt to list everything that happened. Its to find explanations, to tell a story about the human condition thats faithful to the facts but also enters into the motivations,hopes, fears, and ambitions of the past actors. Historians dont just assemble people and places in order. They make arguments about *why* it happened.

Can AI make those arguments? Very likely. This is something I keep wondering about. If it can, will we find those arguments compelling? Will we adopt them? The movie industry has been sounding the alarm for years about AI actors taking jobs away from actual people, but so far, it seems that we prefer our movie stars to be human beings with actual lives, back stories, struggles, and personal charisma. If we are trying to understand the past, will we be content with an argument assembled from a billion points of data by an author who never got sick, never lost a child, and will never die? (Maybe. I just pose the question.)

Second, what on earth is this job called Writers and Authors that pops up in #5? Down below, I see Reporters, Technical Writers, and Editors. What category are the TBs (thats the Tech Bros) considering here? Theres an alarming lack of definition on this list. What about Substack authors? (Will you follow an AI account and hand over your credit card for the privilege?) What about novelists? (I dont see that anywhere, and by the way, if youd like to hear more about the 300K word novel that I finished and am now trying to figure out how to make a penny or two from, please let me know.) What about opinion essayists and advice columnists? What about the myriad of ways in which human beings communicate with each other with words?

Again, many unanswered questions--and some super sloppy labelling happening here.

I use AI for research. When I want to know when, where, and who, I ask AI. But explaining why and what? Thats still my job. Im not saying it wont disappear, though, so please keep an eye on this space in case I need to start a GoFundMe to see me through my old age.

https://fortune.com/2025/07/31/microsoft-research-generative-ai-occupational-impact-jobs-most-and-least-likely-to-steal-teaching-office-jobs-college-gen-z-grads/

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Do you think this is similar to when ebooks came out and people said it would be the end of print? Ebooks certainly changed a lot of things but it didn’t end the print book. I don’t think it will eliminate these jobs but it will change the landscape.

I’ll take ‘things AI gets wrong (again) for $1000’, Alex..

With respect, why would you use AI for research? Given its gross inaccuracies and blatantly false answers, it seems you’d also have to hire an assistant to check everything….resulting in no gained efficiency.

I think it this list is funny. They list pretty much every job but their own - which is interesting because we have already seen AI models write newer and improved AI models (sometimes without being directed to), as well as convincingly code systems, but we have not seen AI do most of these jobs convincingly. I find the absence condemnative of the list.

I don't understand some of this. Passenger attendant - does that mean flight/train/boat attendant? How can that be replaced with AI?

Ha, Facebook wants me to read an AI summary of the comments on this post!

Susan - There is only one person (or thing) that can write history the way you write history, and that is you…

And I am a Translator-Interpreter! 😆

I don't see stall mucker or sheep wrangler or farm stay host or dressage competitor on the list. Luckily you've diversified! Seriously, though, the tech companies are trying to destroy society for profit.

I wish I could say that I was shocked one of my professions is #1. Sadly, as translators get replaced, we will lose the deeper thinking that goes into making translations themselves works of art.

I don't think there are a lot of jobs that will be fully replaced with AI, but I think there are quite a few jobs that might need fewer people doing them. The question isn't whether a role can be replaced, the question (the first one, anyway) is whether a role can be made far more productive. If a particular type of writer can produce three times as much of the same quality work by outsourcing tasks to and supervising an LLM, we need a third as many of that type of writer to produce the same output. Of course, it might also turn out that, when that output requires fewer person-hours of input, we end up wanting a lot more of the now-cheaper output. But, especially in the short run, the prospect of replacing entire jobs with machines is les likely than the prospect of some workers being far more productive and others being replaced.

I think the interpretation that historians do will not be replaced by AI, which is by its very nature derivative rather than creative. And I personally will never choose an AI host/ess or concierge. The personal connection is part of those jobs. Again, I think Microsoft is defining them as “specific question answerers” rather than anything intangible. Microsoft knows how you push its own profits. But seriously, has anyone experienced better customer service since AI rolled out? Or do we waste increasing amounts of time yelling at unthinking, unfeeling recorded voices who literally cannot process unique or complex situations? If a service company advertised “we cost 15% more, but have all-human customer service if you need help”, I’d sign up in a heartbeat.

I finished my Ed.D. at the same time my youngest graduated from our homeschool last year. DOGE eliminated all of the jobs I was applying for.

Yes, would like to hear more about the novel. 😊

Where are Tech Bros on the list? 😂

Mine is on there too, data scientist. As someone who writes code with and peeks under the hood of these LLMs every day, my personal opinion is that every single human job is at risk. Which ones fall first is irrelevant. I also think that demand for human-created art, analysis, and historical insight will go through the roof. Don't panic. People will crave the real thing because it is how we relate to one another.

I’m #1 on the list. I’d go head to head with anybody’s AI if we are being judged on quality.

I tried to have chat gpt make a timeline of ancient history dates for a class, out of order and then with a key. I just thought it would save me some time and I could edit it. It could NOT get the events (correct dates though they were) in order. I kept correcting it and then just finished fixing it myself. I was really surprised.

It all feels very Brave New World… everyone of those jobs, all jobs, deal with human beings to at least a certain level I just don’t see any reality that AI will ever be “human”. I mean we may as a society “allow” this to be tested but… eventually… 🤷‍♀️

I do massage, so until the tech gets better, I’m safe. 😂 I am a late/never adopter of a lot of tech and I do not want to live in a world where AI is acting and writing and interpreting, etc. I want people, imperfect as they are, at the forefront of all of that. And as to things like models, I can see more and more companies moving to AI models but then I hope that the pushback comes in the form of other companies choosing (due to consumer disgust and outrage) to use models that haven’t been airbrushed to within an inch of their lives so that people can tell they aren’t AI. We’ll want our underwear modeled by people with cellulite and stretch marks so that we know we’re looking at a real body. I already want this, and maybe it will take going way, way to far the other way to have more companies willing to go back to real.

AI even knows that AI could but *should not* replace humans in these roles. ChatGPT says: AI will never fully replace human historians or authors unless we (does anyone else find it annoying when AI includes itself in the collective pronoun along with humans?) no longer care about something deeply human: lived experience, moral judgment, and the ability to interpret meaning from a finite, fallible point of view. Here’s the breakdown: ⸻ ❌ Why AI cannot truly replace historians or authors 1. No Lived Experience AI does not live. It does not suffer, remember, grow, or feel the passage of time. Historians and authors interpret—they do not just recount. Interpretation comes from being embedded in time, culture, and personal struggle. A memoir of war, a re-examination of colonialism, or a novel about grief means something because the writer has been somewhere—physically, emotionally, politically. AI hasn’t. A historian doesn’t just ask “What happened?” but “Why did it matter?” That question requires moral and emotional stakes. ⸻ 2. No Judgment or Perspective AI synthesizes existing ideas. It doesn’t take moral stands. Historians must evaluate competing sources, biases, and context. Authors create meaning through style, voice, pacing, omission. AI can mimic this, but it cannot believe anything. Good history is not a data dump; it’s an argument. Good writing isn’t mimicry; it’s voice and conviction. ⸻ 3. No Original Consciousness AI can remix, generate, and surprise, but it doesn’t originate ideas in the way humans do. It can approximate style, tone, and structure but not the internal evolution of a mind responding to the world over time. A novel or a historical thesis emerges from years of noticing, wondering, questioning. AI can imitate that arc, but it cannot experience it. ⸻ ✅ When AI could take over—and at what cost If society shifts to value efficiency, output, and emotional convenience over depth, AI could replace these roles. In fact, in some niches, it already has: content farms, SEO history summaries, ghostwritten genre fiction. But here’s what we lose: 1. Depth and Friction Human thought involves friction—wrestling with ambiguity, pain, contradiction. AI smooths this over. What we gain in polish, we lose in difficulty—and difficulty is where the best insights come from. 2. Memory and Legacy Human history is not just what happened—it’s how we choose to remember. If we let AI do the remembering, we risk delegating our cultural memory to a system with no stake in that memory. That’s not history. That’s archiving without meaning. 3. Authenticity Readers may not always notice, but at a deep level, people respond to writing that bears marks of human limitation and effort. When that vanishes, writing becomes flavorless—even if it’s technically impressive. ⸻ 🤔 Will people care? Some will. Most won’t—at first. If convenience and cost dominate, most people will accept AI-generated books and history summaries as “good enough.” Especially if they’re not trained to value critical thinking or narrative voice. But: • Some readers will miss the feel of a human presence in the text. • Some scholars will warn that we’re replacing memory with simulation. • Some cultures and subcultures will hold fast, like monks preserving manuscripts. And maybe that’s where meaning will still live. ⸻ 🧭 Final Thought AI can tell us what happened and how it sounded. But only humans can tell us why it mattered—and why we should care. Replacing human historians or authors means deciding that meaning itself doesn’t need a human face. And once we’ve made that trade, it’s unclear whether we can ever get it back.

I think they miss the fact that people are social creatures and want the social interaction sometimes as much as the service. Sure shipping online or going through self check out can sometimes be quicker/easier, but we choose the store or the cashier because that human interface is important. And no, I don't think any amount of tech can program those unique exchanges into even a humanesque form. I still prefer live theater over the"perfection" of something filmed/edited/auto tuned.

Thank you for passing this news on. One day, AI will be doing that for us, too.

I doubt it, particularly the writer/author career. And the one right below that seems applicable, but so far my experience with these AI replacements has been downright disappointing. They simply cannot assist with tech support, which is sort of ironic if you think about it.

And the computer was going to eliminate executive assistants, and robots were going to eliminate janitors, and sanity was going to eliminate presidents. I digress. Anyway, no need to catastrophize. I think this tech will just make historians stronger.

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